But we might have at least a small hint.
After playing a game on the 3DS for over a hour, players are capable of rating these games via the eShop, and the totals are shown on each game page, showing up to five stars based on what the population thinks. At the very least, we now have minimum sales figures for the games, but with a very large disclaimer: these numbers represent the users who have done the following:
1) Purchased the game
2) Played the game for over an hour on the 3DS, and
3) Chose to rate the game on the eShop.
People who play the games on their DSi systems cannot rate games, nor can people who have not played the games for less than one hour. Since rating cannot be done outside of the eShop, some might have forgotten to or chosen not to rate said games. Also note that a rating does not necessarily correspond with a sale in the month in which it appears, only emphasizing the number of additional people who completed the above steps.
With that disclaimer in mind, let us take a look at how the games performed.
It appears that the streams are about to cross this upcoming month, as Nintendo Video and Pokedex 3D are getting closer to one another on a monthly rating scale. Pokedex 3D remains the most-rated downloaded product on the eShop, and it looks like it will remain in that position for a very long time to come.
I thought Hulu would emerge by now, but I suspect it will appear before year end. Demos may appear here as well, but we will see if there are any ways to vote for demos as they appear.
|2||2||Night of the Living Carrots||72||102|
|3||3||The Pig Who Cried Werewolf||21||29|
Just when you thought the video downloads could not do much better than last month, they did MUCH better than it. I can imagine more consistent views on these clips now that they are off Nintendo Video and are viewable in 3D. Either way, I doubt we'll see many more videos added for some time yet.
|1||1||Plants vs. Zombies||669||4921|
|4||4||Mario vs. Donkey Kong: Minis March Again!||316||3064|
|8||6||Anonymous Notes Chapter 1 - From the Abyss||170||1747|
|9||10||GO Series: 10 Second Run||161||1176|
|10||13||Shantae: Risky's Revenge||150||2216|
|11||14||Nintendo Countdown Calender||137||638|
|12||16||Pop Island - Paperfield||136||1059|
|13||11||Tetris Party Live||126||1299|
|19||21||Dr. Mario Express||65||717|
|20||Glory Days: Tactical Defense||62||391|
|21||18||Soul of Darkness||59||750|
|22||24||Dark Void Zero||50||733|
|24||20||Gangstar 2: Kings of L.A.||45||281|
|28||27||Blazybloo: Super Melee Action Battle Royale||37||302|
|29||32||Paper Airplane Chase||36||299|
|33||34||5 in 1 Solitaire||27||234|
|34||29||Anonymous Notes Chapter 2 - From the Abyss||24||457|
|35||37||GO Series: Defense Wars||24||180|
|39||33||My Exotic Farm||17||220|
|40||40||A Topsy Turvy Life: The Turvys Strike Back||9||79|
|42||38||Petz Dogz Family||6||75|
*This list consists of a selection of DSiWare games that released prior to June 2011 and does not reflect the actual rating listing of every previous DSiWare game released.
No real surprises here, as the usual top games continue to get their fair share of ratings on a monthly basis. Also, Petz is clearly not a franchise which will get a lot of ratings, as is Topsy Turvy Life. Either way, 15 of the 42 tracked games had over a hundred ratings, whereas last month had 17 out of 40. Total votes were 4551, down from last month's 5278. It seemed more focus was on other parts of the shop than these games.
This month we spotted this game around the Top 20:
We'll see how it goes in December!
|1||1||The Legend of Zelda: Four Swords Anniversary Edition*||7491||22118|
|3||Cut the Rope||158||158|
|6||4||Extreme Hangman 2||51||334|
|7||3||Let's Create! Pottery||50||242|
|9||5||GO Series: Fishing Resort||32||157|
|10||17||Castle Conqueror: Revolution||30||48|
|11||7||The Lost Town: The Dust||29||240|
|12||38||Halloween: Trick or Treat||29||35|
|13||9||Go! Go! Kokopolo||28||152|
|15||12||My Asian Farm||20||84|
|17||21||My Australian Farm||18||105|
|18||18||Stratego: Next Edition||17||121|
|21||Escape Trick: Convenience Store||13||13|
|22||19||Make-Up & Style||12||110|
|24||Castle Conqueror: Heroes||12||12|
|27||26||Blockado - Puzzle Island||10||44|
|28||30||Defense of the Middle Kingdom||10||36|
|29||31||Bugs 'N' Balls||10||20|
|30||49 ||Academy Checkers||10||13|
|31||Come On! Heroes||10||10|
|33||27||GO Series: Portable Shrine Wars||9||67|
|35||House M.D. - Crashed||9||9|
|37||41||Jewel Keepers: Easter Island||8||57|
|38||22||House M.D. - Blue Meanie||8||41|
|41||37||Go Fetch! 2||7||19|
|42||13||Zoonies - Escape from Makatu||7||51|
|43||32||Crystal Caves of Amen-Ra||7||17|
|44||43||House M.D. - Skull and Bones||7||11|
|45||39||Pro Jumper! Guilty Gear Tangent!?||6||81|
|46||23||Escape Trick: Ninja Castle||6||26|
|47||1950s Lawn Mower Kids||6||6|
|48||33||Kung Fu Dragon||5||39|
|49||40||Heart Spaces Euchre||4||41|
|50||42||Play & Learn Spanish||3||14|
|51||45||Beach Party Craze||2||25|
|52||46||Boardwalk Ball Toss||2||20|
|54||52||B-Team - Episode 2: Ice & Venom||2||6|
|55||Play & Learn Chinese||2||2|
|57||44||Zimo: Mahjong Fanatic||1||23|
|60||51||Just SING! 80s Collection||0||5|
|61||35||Oscar's World Tour||0||14|
|64||Battle of the Elements||0||0|
** This game is freely available until February 2012.
This was perhaps the biggest month in terms of new DSiWare games that were not free. Obviously the freely available Four Swords game stayed on top, but two new games this month sat just below it. Bloons TD took the top spot for new games with 305 ratings, which is already enough to put it ahead of all but three games on this list for total ratings. This was followed immediately by Cut the Rope which got 158 ratings, which is still greater than any other debut outside of Four Swords or Bloons TD.
The other games did not fare as well. Battle of the Elements, which debuted the week before the month was over, got no votes this month, whereas Play & Learn Chinese sat above it with a paltry 2 votes. In regards to last month's releases, 1001 BlockBusters performed the best at 4th with 60 more votes. All of the bigger releases from months past are still high up on this list, including Let's Create Pottery, Go! Go! Kokopolo, GO Series: Fishing Resort, and Afterzoom.
In terms of the overall picture, it is mixed. 31 games of the 64 released since launch got at least ten ratings, and of those, only three surpassed a hundred ratings this month. Five games did not get a single rating, and 16 got less than five ratings. That shows that lower-tier games on DSiWare are either played for a very short period of time or are not even downloaded enough to garner much of a note on ratings.
Six months running, there are only 15 games which have more than a hundred ratings in the new DSiWare releases, and a total of 26,533 ratings encompass the whole category, 83% of which belong to a free Zelda 25th Anniversary game.
|1||1||Super Mario Land 2: 6 Golden Coins||961||2579|
|2||2||Legend of Zelda: Link's Awakening DX||739||16192|
|3||3||Super Mario Land||530||9633|
|4||4||Kirby's Dream Land||341||3344|
|6||Metroid II: Return of Samus||143||143|
|7||6||Mega Man: Dr. Wily's Revenge||132||645|
|8||7||Game & Watch Gallery||98||1012|
|15||20||Burger Time Deluxe||32||41|
The changes here are not entirely noticeable. The top games continue to perform well, while lesser-known games fight amongst themselves for the scraps. Metroid II debuted at 6, although I expect it to climb in December's chart. Balloon Kid, the only other release this month, got 52 ratings, which is almost 20 less than Catrap's debut. It is surprising that no third party games released this past month, as is the fact that only two games appeared at all.
Last month's titles all fell just below that of Balloon Kid. Double Dragon was the best performer of the bunch with 50 ratings. It will no doubt surpass 100 ratings in December. Meanwhile Side Pocket actually performed worse this month than last, and to date it is the lowest-performing game on these charts with a small 15 ratings. The lowest performers overall this month were Fortified Zone and Golf, which continues to sit at the bottom of the charts.
Super Mario Land 2 is catching up to the other big Classic Games, but it may take a few more months to get there. Game & Watch Gallery exceeded 1,000 ratings, while Mario's Picross will do the same in December. Overall, after six months, 41,031 ratings were made to Classic Games, with 39.5% going to Legend of Zelda: Link's Awakening DX (which is, to date, the most-rated eShop title which has never been free).
3DS Download Software
|1||FreakyForms: Your Creations, Alive!||1249||1249|
|2||1||3D Classics: Excitebike*||650||18920|
|3||3D Classics: Kirby's Adventure||600||600|
|4||2||Let's Golf! 3D||223||1855|
|6||5||3D Classics: Xevious||106||1132|
|7||3||3D Classics: Twinbee||105||332|
|8||4||3D Classics: Urban Champion||102||634|
*Available for free during June 2011
Finally, after half a year of waiting, Nintendo finally released its first non-3D Classics title for the 3DS Download Software lineup, and gamers responded. Asobism's FreakyForms got the highest ratings, already surpassing all but Let's Golf! 3D in LTD ratings, with great possibility that it will surpass it in the following months. Meanwhile, 3D Classics: Kirby's Adventure shot up in sales and ratings after its debut, no doubt on the verge of surpassing Urban Champion and approaching Xevious in the near future. Excitebike is untouchable as it was freely available at the eShop launch and will most likely remain the most-rated 3DS Download Software for the forseeable future, so seeing it fall to FreakyForms in monthly ratings was a change of pace.
Last month's Pyramids more than doubled, but even considering that, the game is the least-rated 3DS Download Software to date, followed by 3D Classics: Twinbee by just over a hundred ratings. Since its existence, the eShop has 24,923 ratings on these games, of which 76% belongs to the free 3D Classics: Excitebike. This ratio looks set to decline as more 3DS Download Software titles emerge into next year.
|1||1||The Legend of Zelda: Four Swords Anniversary Edition*||7491||22118|
|2||FreakyForms: Your Creations, Alive!||1249||1249|
|3||2||Super Mario Land 2: 6 Golden Coins||961||2579|
|4||3||Legend of Zelda: Link's Awakening DX||739||16192|
|5||6||Plants vs. Zombies||669||4921|
|6||4||3D Classics: Excitebike*||650||18920|
|7||3D Classics: Kirby's Adventure||600||600|
|8||5||Super Mario Land||530||9633|
|11||8||Kirby's Dream Land||341||3344|
|12||10||Mario vs. Donkey Kong: Minis March Again!||316||3064|
|15||12||Let's Golf! 3D||223||1855|
|19||15||Anonymous Notes Chapter 1 - From the Abyss||170||1747|
|20||19||GO Series: 10 Second Run||161||1176|
*This game was freely available during June 2011.
**This game is freely available until February 2012.
Three new games appear in the overall Top 20, and that is a delight to see for sure! Bloons TD sits at 13 and is the second time a new DSiWare title appeared in the Top 20. Note that Cut the Rope sits at 21, just shy of the Top 20. FreakyForms debuts at 2, below the free Zelda title, while 3D Classics: Kirby's Adventure enjoys being 7 right next to Excitebike.
Otherwise, the Top 20 is pretty similar to that of last month. The most-rated video download, Thriller, sits at 36. Otherwise, the top sellers of each category are seen above.
Now, while some might be questioning my methods here and saying "These are just ratings and mean nothing to sales," the method has been proven to be a pretty good method for sales predictions. Every month, Nintendo posts on the eShop a section labelled "Top Sellers" for a given month. So, as long as Nintendo releases them, these lists will follow all the above content.
|1||The Legend of Zelda: Four Swords Anniversary Edition*|
|2||FreakyForms: Your Creations, Alive!|
|3||3D Classics: Kirby's Adventure|
|4||Super Mario Land 2: 6 Golden Coins|
|5||Legend of Zelda: Link's Awakening DX|
|7||Plants vs. Zombies|
|8||Super Mario Land|
|9||Kirby's Dream Land|
|12||Mario vs. Donkey Kong: Minis March Again!|
|13||Night of the Living Carrots|
|15||GO Series: 10 Second Run|
|16||Cut the Rope|
|17||Let's Golf! 3D|
|20||Nintendo Countdown Calender|
*The game is freely available until February 2012.
For one, this puts Kirby's Adventure in a higher spot than it was before. It also brings Pyramids higher as well, above Let's Golf! 3D, even. Cut the Rope is at 16 instead of 21, and most surprising of all, both Thriller and Night of the Living Carrots actually outsold a large portion of titles in the eShop. Notice that Excitebike no longer appears here, as the game has not sold much since it was no longer free. There are some shifts here and there, as well, but what puzzles me are the downloads of the Mario Clock and Countdown Calender, but I guess I'll never understand that. The basic listing is more or less correct, however, compared to the ratings listing.
Now, what's in store for December? A new update just happened, and demos may appear in the near future. Nintendo and Intelligent Systems's Pushmo is already out, and rumors of Wario Land and a GameBoy Color title are abound. 3D Classics: Kid Icarus will most likely see a January release, so that leaves the question: will we see any more third party 3DS Download Software titles before year-end? We'll find out soon!